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Table 2 Hazard ratios for presence of elevated depressive symptoms and antidepressant use with respect to incident diabetes risk

From: Marginal structural models for the estimation of the risk of Diabetes Mellitus in the presence of elevated depressive symptoms and antidepressant medication use in the Women’s Health Initiative observational and clinical trial cohorts

 

Unadjusted Cox PH model

Approach 1a

Approach 2a

Approach 3a

Approach 4a

 

Cox PH Model (baseline antidepressant medication use and baseline presence of elevated depressive symptoms)

Cox PH Models (baseline values of all predictors)

Cox Models (time varying antidepressant medication use, presence of elevated depressive symptoms, and BMI; baseline values for other covariates)

Cox Models (time varying antidepressant medication use, presence of elevated depressive symptoms, and BMI; adjusted for propensity score and baseline values for other covariates)

Marginal Structural Models (time varying antidepressant medication use, presence of elevated depressive symptoms, and BMI; baseline values for other covariates)

Predictor

HR (95 % CI)

HR (95 % CI)

HR (95 % CI)

HR (95 % CI)

HR (95 % CI)

 

Observational Cohort (OS) (N = 68,169)

  Antidepressant medication use up to year 3

1.26

1.19

1.31

1.32

1.35

(1.12–1.41)

(1.06–1.35)

(1.18–1.46)

(1.19–1.47)

(1.21–1.51)

  Presence of elevated depressive symptoms

1.34

1.11

1.12

1.09

1.10

(1.23–1.45)

(1.02–1.21)

(1.03–1.23)

(1.00–1.19)

(1.00–1.20)

 

Clinical Trial (CT) (N = 52,326)

  Antidepressant medication use up to year 3

1.17

1.14

1.26

1.25

1.27

(1.04–1.31)

(1.01–1.30)

(1.12–1.41)

(1.12–1.40)

(1.13–1.43)

  Presence of elevated depressive symptoms

1.31

1.13

1.12

1.09

1.10

(1.21–1.42)

(1.04–1.23)

(1.03–1.22)

(0.996–1.18)

(1.00–1.20)

  1. aModels adjusted for baseline values of age, ethnicity, education, minutes of recreational physical activity per week, total energy intake, hormone therapy use, family history of diabetes and smoking status